Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
STE
1 - 1
TNS
6%
12%
83%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
PEN
89%
9%
3%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 10
TNS
9%
17%
75%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |