Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 3
TNS
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |