Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 2
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAN
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
7 - 1
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |