Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
69.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRI
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 5
LID
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TNS
6 - 0
BRY
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 1
AIR
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
LID
3 - 1
TNS
9%
22%
69%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 4
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |