UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-8
Carmarthen Town vs Tampere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
TAM
5 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
RHY
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tampere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
TAM
5 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
FFJ
1 - 2
TAM
27%
30%
44%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 0
HAK
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
TAM
2 - 2
IFK
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
VAA
1 - 0
TAM
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |