Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 0
CAR
12%
16%
71%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAE
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
LID
4 - 1
CAR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
AAF
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
TAF
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 2
LLA
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
TAF
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
6 - 2
CWM
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |