Carmarthen Town vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNS
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
LLA
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
4 - 1
PON
45%
22%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 4
BRI
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |