Carmarthen Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 4
AAF
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
NEW
25%
24%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 0
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
CON
13%
23%
64%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 2
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |