Carmarthen Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
RHY
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TNS
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 3
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 2
PON
85%
11%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 4
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 3
GOY
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 3
HAV
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |