Carmarthen Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 1
CWU
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
6 - 2
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 1
LLA
76%
15%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
AAF
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 3
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |