Carmarthen Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
PRE
53%
21%
26%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 4
CAR
30%
23%
47%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 4
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLI
2 - 2
NEW
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
PRE
70%
17%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
3 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |