Carmarthen Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PRE
3 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
HAV
0 - 1
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 3
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |