Carmarthen Town vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEA
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |