Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOY
2 - 2
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
GOY
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
PON
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |