Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 4
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
3 - 1
LLA
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
3 - 2
LID
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
6 - 3
LID
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |