Carmarthen Town vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HAV
3 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAN
5 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
LLA
3 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
LLA
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
ABE
0 - 1
LLA
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
AIR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |