Carmarthen Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
HAV
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
LLA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GLO
4 - 1
HAV
12%
18%
70%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
HAV
15%
20%
66%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
YFC
1 - 3
HAV
6%
13%
82%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
HAV
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 3
HAV
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |