Carmarthen Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 2
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RHY
1 - 1
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 3
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |