Carmarthen Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
0 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 4
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 0
HAV
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |