Carmarthen Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 6
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CON
4 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CON
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |