Carmarthen Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AIR
5 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
RHY
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 2
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |