Carmarthen Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
CON
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
ABE
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |