Carmarthen Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
5 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
CEF
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 4
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |