Carmarthen Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
RHY
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 0
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 1
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 4
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 2
RHY
33%
24%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 1
CEF
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
5 - 3
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEF
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |