Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 1
CWU
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
9%
14%
77%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | +1 |