Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
GOY
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
LLA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |