Carmarthen Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAN
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |