Carmarthen Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNS
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |