Carmarthen Town vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
HAV
14%
20%
67%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
HAV
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
GOY
0 - 1
BDG
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
BDG
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
BDG
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 1
SWA
8%
12%
80%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
PON
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |