Carmarthen Town vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
TNS
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
PRE
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
CON
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
CEF
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
BAN
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
BAN
29%
22%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |