Carmarthen Town vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
5 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 2
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAN
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 3
BAL
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAN
41%
23%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |