Carmarthen Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
TNS
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
RHY
2 - 0
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |