Carmarthen Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
AIR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
CON
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
AIR
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |