Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNS
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 1
AAF
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
TRE
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
BDG
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |