Carmarthen Town vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 4
AAF
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 4
CON
16%
25%
59%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
5 - 0
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
AIR
17%
20%
64%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |