Carmarthen Town vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
PRE
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
PRE
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
24%
23%
52%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
4 - 1
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
AIR
65%
18%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 2
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |