Carmarthen Town vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
33%
25%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
4 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
10%
21%
69%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 1
AFC
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
PON
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
2 - 0
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 3
CAM
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
ABE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |