Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 4
CAR
16%
19%
66%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
TRE
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 3
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CWM
0 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LID
2 - 3
PON
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
LID
0 - 4
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LID
3 - 2
BRI
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LID
4 - 2
AAF
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |