Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
LID
3 - 1
TNS
9%
22%
69%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
LID
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
BAN
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
LLA
8%
19%
73%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |