Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
GOY
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 2
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 1
LLA
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 3
ABE
38%
22%
40%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |