Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
NEW
25%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
PRE
53%
21%
26%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 4
CAR
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
PRE
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 1
LLA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
4 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |