Carmarthen Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRI
26%
22%
52%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
EWA
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 4
CWM
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 1
ABB
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |