Carmarthen Town vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRI
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
ABE
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
3 - 1
ABE
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
TAF
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAA
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |