Carlton SC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 4
CSC
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 1
GIF
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
0 - 3
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 2
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 3
PER
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
2 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |