Carlton SC vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
0 - 3
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 2
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
SYD
3 - 2
CSC
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 2
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CCO
0 - 0
GIF
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 0
SYD
25%
28%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 2
GIF
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 1
SFC
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |