Carlstad United vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlstad United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SKE
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 0
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
ASI
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 4
CAR
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
HIF
2 - 0
ORE
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
HIF
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HIF
1 - 0
TRE
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 3
HIF
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
HIF
4 - 1
DAL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |