CA Manucci vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 1
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COM
1 - 2
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOS
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COM
0 - 4
ALF
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
SBO
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |