Carlisle United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 1
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EXE
2 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 3
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DAG
4 - 2
CUM
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
YOR
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 2
YOR
57%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
YOR
2 - 3
AFC
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 1
YOR
55%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 3
YOR
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |