Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LEY
4 - 1
CUM
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 0
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
CUM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
CUM
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 3
WAL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
YEO
0 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
YEO
2 - 2
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
YEO
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
YEO
1 - 0
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
YEO
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |