Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DAG
3 - 0
CUM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 1
LEY
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 3
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
4 - 2
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
POS
2 - 2
YEO
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 2
BOU
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
1 - 1
OLD
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 1
NOT
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |